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Archive for July, 2010

Rudy Gay Off the Market

July 1st, 2010 3 comments

Rudy Gay is off the market, having accepted to a 5-year, $80 million contract to remain a Memphis Grizzly (is that the singular?). Gay was a Plan B target for many South Floridians, despite the cold reality that such a union was simply not realistic. I couldn’t seem to stress this enough times and have my reader base actually believe me, but it was nonetheless a virtual certainty.

The manner in which the offer came about, however, is quite interesting (and perhaps foolish). We knew coming in that Gay would be a beneficiary of a bloated free agent contract, piggy-backing off more heralded max players like LeBron James, Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh, but few could predict his max contract would have come from his incumbent team on the first day of free agency. The strategy when dealing with your own restricted free agents is to stall and threaten to match any contract any team offers in the hopes of scaring them away, which handcuffs the player and his agent. It is a strategy that worked for the Knicks, to the dismay of David Lee, last season.

The NBA and its players are on a collision course with a potential extended lockout, and when loss-making, small-market teams are signing marginally above average players like Rudy Gay to maximum contracts without batting an eye, it is extremely confounding. Particularly when they don’t need to. But hey, owner Michael Heisley was staunchly committed to the developing small forward, and he got his man.

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Joe Johnson Gets His Max Deal

July 1st, 2010 No comments

The Atlanta Hawks have offered up a ridiculous 6-year, $119 million contract offer to Joe Johnson. This is good news for a Heat team that figures to be battling it out with the Bulls for Eastern Conference supremacy for years to come. Johnson figured to be a nice Plan B alternative in Chicago, once which most figured would solve the team’s problem of not having the required cap space to offer up two maximum contracts. It was hoped by some that Johnson would be accommodating to a contract starting in the $13 million range – the theory being that without the necessary cap space to secure James and Bosh, a pairing of Johnson and Bosh would round out Chicago’s rotation quite nicely. Now, however, that appears impossible.

Of course, nothing can be made official until the end of July Moratorium on the 8th. But if the Hawks play hard ball and refuse a sign-and-trade, as they seem destined to do, it would be awfully difficult for Johnson to turn down that offer.

While the Hawks have secured their own star two-guard for years to come, they don’t gain anything with the move. The team now figures to have access to just a mid-level (~$5.7 million) and a bi-annual ($2.08 million) exception with which to improve its roster from last season.

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Milwaukee’s Spending Spree

July 1st, 2010 No comments

The Milwaukee Bucks were active on the first day of free agency.

John Salmons, who got a reprieve from Sacramento to help the Bulls make the playoffs, then got a reprieve from Chicago after some lackluster play to help the Bucks make the playoffs, is apparently being rewarded with a 5-year, $39 million contract offer to remain in Milwaukee. The starting salary is about a million more than the projected mid-level exception, which suggests he made the correct decision in opting out a contract that would have paid him $5.8 million. The deal also includes some $5.0 million in potential bonuses that are deemed unlikely to be achieved. The loss of Salmons reduces the depth of options available to the Heat at the small forward position, but with Lebron James, Mike Miller and Josh Howard all still in the mix, this is little more than an afterthought.

The Bucks have also reached an agreement with Drew Gooden, on a five-year, $32 million contract. I guess that emphatically ends any notions that he’d be willing to sign on in Miami for a minimum contract. It would have been a solid addition for the Heat, but I guess the extra 31 million of guaranteed dollars proved just a tad too much for him to pass up. The price isn’t unreasonable for a 6’10 power forward who can score, rebound and defend. The Bucks have basically nabbed a more talented but far less motivated Udonis-Haslem-type with an eerily similar contract to the one the Heat forward just ended. The difference, however, is that at its end, Gooden will be an overpaid (32 and) 33-year old.

Milwaukee figures to enter the 2010-11 season with a starting lineup that features Brandon Jennings, John Salmons, Corey Maggette, Drew Gooden and Andrew Bogut. That’s a playoff caliber roster, but it better not hold a candle to what the Heat is expecting to bring.

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How the Heat can afford three max contract players

July 1st, 2010 10 comments

Can Riley make the room to offer 3 maxes of these?

Videos such as this, which suggests that the Heat can acquire three maximum contract players without sacrificing Mario Chalmers, and articles such as this, which suggests that the Heat cannot acquire three maximum contract players even if they sacrifice both Michael Beasley and Mario Chalmers, are confusing the heck out of us.

We’re all trying to figure out what it would take to be able do what no other team in the league can do — offer Dwyane Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh full, maximum contracts.

So what’s the true answer?

Neither of the above is correct. Based on the league’s current salary cap projections, the Heat can make three maximum contract offers if, and only if, it trades away both Beasley and Chalmers.

Allow me to explain. Read more…

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Bosh Scenario to Miami Apparently Premature

July 1st, 2010 5 comments

The first step of Pat Riley’s mater rebuilding plan is apparently not as complete as initially reported.

On Wednesday, Miami Herald radio host and ESPN contributor Dan LeBatard reported that the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors had an agreement in place in which the Heat would acquire the services of forward Chris Bosh. Under the terms of the agreement, the Raptors were said to have agreed to a sign-and-trade of Bosh to the Heat, in exchange for Michael Beasley, Mario Chalmers and Joel Anthony.

But multiple league sources have now disputed any such deal exists. In fact, a high-level Raptors source has suggested the team has no interest in Beasley or Chalmers. Toronto would, however, consider a $16.6 million trade exception (which would be produced if the Raptors were to trade Bosh for nobody in return) and the return of its first-round pick from Miami in the 2009 Jermaine O’Neal trade. Read more…

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Richard Jefferson Opts Out

July 1st, 2010 3 comments

Apparently, sometimes cash just isn't enough

You wanted shocking news to start off the most anticipated free agency period in league history? You’ve got it.

But it has nothing to do with the Heat.

Richard Jefferson has opted out of his contract.

I’ve said it before. An eight-figure salary is something that most NBA players can only ever dream of achieving. It’s a goal right up there with winning a championship and customizing that new Ferrari in the driveway. So it’s difficult to imagine that a player would voluntary sacrifice that kind of money when a similar payday does not appear to be on the horizon.

But that’s exactly what Richard has done. Jefferson has opted out of the $15.2 million he was due next year. This comes as a shock to just about everyone.

Why would he do it?

It doesn’t figure to provide the Spurs any flexibility with which to acquire new talent, as they remain over the projected salary cap after incorporating available exceptions (though it does mean a tax free 2010-11). They also now have to find a replacement for their starting small forward. Read more…

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The Wait is Over!

July 1st, 2010 3 comments

This is the moment we’ve been so desperately awaiting for three long and painful years.

July 1. The official start to the 2010-11 NBA season.

And so begins the most highly anticipated free agency period in league history. With it comes the potential to reshape the NBA’s power structure for the next half decade.

The free agent class of 2010 is now official. It includes names such as: Amare Stoudemire, Brendan Haywood, Carlos Boozer, Chris Bosh, David Lee, Dirk Nowitzski, Dwyane Wade, Joe Johnson, Lebron James, Paul Pierce, Ray Allen, Rudy Gay, and – for old times sake – Shaquille O’Neal.

Five teams enter the off-season with the necessary cap space to acquire a maximum contract free agent. All five of them have Lebron James at the top of their wish list and will meet with him in or near his home in Ohio, starting this morning.

Two teams figure to have enough for two maximum contract free agents. But only one – the Miami Heat – has a legitimate opportunity to clear the required cap space for three.

Speculation has run rampant. Stepehen A. Smith got our hearts racing on Tuesday when he oh so casually mentioned that Dwyane Wade, Lebron James and Chris Bosh would each be signing free agent contracts to play in what is now Miami-Wade County. Dan Lebetard raised the bar yesterday when he suggested a deal to acquire Chris Bosh had already been structured. All of it sounds so intoxicating. Who doesn’t understand how the mere prospect of the Heat landing the trifecta should overtake the sports world?

Most of the speculation has been categorically denied by players and coaches alike. And for good reason. Teams were unable to officially talk to free agents, other than their own, until this moment.

But for those of you who have been waiting up until the stroke of midnight in the hopes of acquiring some life-altering news, go back to bed. Deals can now be struck, but nothing can be signed – and therefore nothing is official – until July 8. In fact, teams won’t even know exactly how much room they have to work with until the salary cap figure for the coming year is officially released on or about July 7.

So don’t expect the veil of secrecy to be lifted just yet. The last thing a general manager wants to do is broadcast a game plan and then, for whatever reason, have it blow up in his face. Nothing good can come of it. It enrages fans. It alienates potential second options. And it makes them look foolish.

Plan for another agonizing seven days. And hope for fewer.

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